KEY MACRO INDICATORS — REAL-TIME FRED FEED
Fetching data from FRED_
FED FUNDS RATE vs CORE CPI (YoY %)
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE (U-3, %)
MACRO SIGNAL BOARD — DUAL MANDATE SCORECARD
INFLATION METRICS — DUAL MANDATE: PRICE STABILITY TARGET 2%
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CPI ALL ITEMS vs CORE CPI (YoY %)
PCE DEFLATOR vs CORE PCE (YoY %) — FED'S PREFERRED
POWELL'S INFLATION LENS
Analyzing inflation dynamics_
LABOR MARKET — DUAL MANDATE: MAXIMUM EMPLOYMENT
Loading labor data_
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE U-3 (%)
NONFARM PAYROLLS — MoM CHANGE (thousands)
LABOR MARKET ASSESSMENT
Analyzing labor market conditions_
ECONOMIC GROWTH & OUTPUT
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REAL GDP GROWTH (QoQ ANNUALIZED %)
INDUSTRIAL PRODUCTION INDEX
GROWTH ASSESSMENT
Analyzing growth dynamics_
INTEREST RATES & CREDIT CONDITIONS
TREASURY YIELD CURVE — CURRENT
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2Y–10Y YIELD SPREAD (%) — RECESSION SIGNAL
HIGH YIELD CORPORATE OAS (bps) — CREDIT STRESS GAUGE
RATES & FINANCIAL CONDITIONS
Analyzing rate environment_
FINANCIAL CONDITIONS & SYSTEMIC INDICATORS
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FED BALANCE SHEET ($ TRILLIONS) — QT PROGRESS
M2 MONEY SUPPLY GROWTH (YoY %)
FINANCIAL STABILITY MONITOR
Analyzing financial conditions_
SYNTHETIC FED ANALYSIS — AI-POWERED FOMC ASSESSMENT
DUAL MANDATE STATUS
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POLICY RATE OUTLOOK — TAYLOR RULE ANALYSIS
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RISK BALANCE
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FINANCIAL STABILITY FLAGS
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DATA GLOSSARY
CPI — Consumer Price Index (BLS) |
PCE — Personal Consumption Expenditure deflator (Fed's preferred) |
JOLTS — Job Openings & Labor Turnover Survey |
NFP — Nonfarm Payrolls |
EFFR — Effective Fed Funds Rate |
OAS — Option-Adjusted Spread |
QT — Quantitative Tightening |
NFCI — National Financial Conditions Index |
NAIRU — Non-Accelerating Inflation Rate of Unemployment
All data sourced live from FRED API — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.
All data sourced live from FRED API — Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis.